Situation Tottenham Hotspur now it is even more worrying after they lost at home to Crystal Palace. The defeat left Spurs only one point away from the relegation zone Premier League.
Previously, many thought that Tottenham was still too strong to be relegated even though their position in the standings was quite low. But that notion is now slowly fading.
Meanwhile, West Ham United And Nottingham Forest both managed to get points in the middle of the week. This result actually put even more pressure on Tottenham because their failure to score points put the North London club right on the edge of the red zone.
Interim coach Igor Tudor is still having difficulty improving the team’s performance. The problem of player injuries and poor discipline is also a big obstacle, so that fears of relegation now feel even more real.
On the other hand, West Ham is starting to have hopes of staying in the league after showing improved performance in recent weeks. Wednesday night’s win over Fulham means the Hammers are now only behind Nottingham Forest on goal difference. Even so, their struggle is still long.
Calculating Points to Survive Relegation
The exact number of points needed to ensure safety in the Premier League cannot be known for certain. However, we can see a picture of the data from the last 10 seasons.
To estimate this figure, a calculation is used by taking the total points of the team that finished in 18th place in the last 10 seasons, then adding one point as the minimum limit to survive without relying on goal difference.
From these calculations, the average points needed to survive is 33 points.
However, the situation this season may be different. West Ham, who is currently in 18th position, has collected 28 points with nine matches remaining, so it is likely that the safety limit this season will be higher.
The standings predictions from Opta show that the team needs around 38 points to be completely safe from relegation. In this projection, West Ham is predicted to finish in 18th position with 37.49 points, while Tottenham is predicted to be in 15th place with 40.04 points.
If numbers 38 points be the safety limit this season, then:
- West Ham must collect another 10 points from their last nine matches.
- Tottenham need an additional 9 points to ensure they stay in the Premier League.
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